Badung, CNBC Indonesia – Head of the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) Dwikorita Karnawati said there was the potential for La Nina to occur which would cause high rainfall this year. Previously, Indonesia was hit by El Nino or a severe dry season.
However, he admitted that he still couldn't confirm whether La Nina would actually occur or not. Because, his party still needs monitoring data on sea surface temperatures in Indonesian waters, and also sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.
“So at the end of last March, the BMKG issued a season forecast, predicting that the dry season will start gradually, not immediately. Starting in April, a small part of Indonesia will begin to enter the dry season, and so on until finally in June, most of Indonesia will enter the dry season. , where the peak is in July or August,” explained Dwikorita at the 10th World Water Forum Press Conference in Badung, Bali, Thursday (23/5/2024).
So, what's the status? Is there a La Nina or El Nino?
Based on his analysis, currently ENSO is neutral, so it is not La Nina or El Nino. However, he continued, there is a possibility that towards the end of the dry season La Nina could occur.
“But we are still continuing to collect data, La Nina will start to occur. So it's not actually dry, but that can't be concluded with certainty, we still need monitoring data on sea surface temperatures in Indonesian waters and also sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean ,” he said.
However, in general, he said, BMKG predicts that the dry season will be mostly normal, although there are around 9% of the season zone that is relatively drier than normal. Then it's 10% wetter than normal, but about 80% is normal.
“Later we will continue. After August we will know whether La Nina will occur,” he concluded.
[Gambas:Video CNBC]
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